Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.730190 1.881554 2.042343 2.226245 2.431229 2.653216 2.912510
2026-02-08 1.482913 1.686340 1.914856 2.191992 2.520892 2.901099 3.377270
2026-02-15 1.329301 1.561312 1.832795 2.176741 2.604886 3.125604 3.815036
2026-02-22 1.245719 1.502696 1.813779 2.222716 2.753072 3.427402 4.365662
2026-03-01 1.154269 1.422655 1.756626 2.209186 2.816538 3.618369 4.782831
2026-03-08 1.070968 1.344258 1.692409 2.176683 2.846259 3.760099 5.139179
2026-03-15 0.984622 1.254684 1.605512 2.104352 2.811744 3.805138 5.355247
2026-03-22 0.939456 1.215708 1.581832 2.114375 2.889759 4.011883 5.826548
2026-03-29 0.908414 1.193091 1.577751 2.149781 3.004582 4.279236 6.416241
2026-04-05 0.877511 1.168250 1.568154 2.175184 3.104607 4.530342 7.004679
2026-04-12 0.846300 1.140791 1.552533 2.189528 3.187240 4.759182 7.578895
2026-04-19 0.814237 1.110083 1.529959 2.191019 3.248508 4.956926 8.119094
2026-04-26 0.769770 1.059830 1.476891 2.143674 3.230359 5.025538 8.443415
2026-05-03 0.733184 1.019303 1.436038 2.112558 3.235883 5.133901 8.853303
2026-05-10 0.703849 0.987998 1.407212 2.098254 3.267497 5.288919 9.369371
2026-05-17 0.691073 0.980781 1.414521 2.142215 3.400639 5.635380 10.307660
2026-05-24 0.665763 0.953157 1.388504 2.129299 3.433189 5.799895 10.893652
2026-05-31 0.638109 0.920641 1.353084 2.098252 3.430711 5.897455 11.348598
2026-06-07 0.603913 0.876529 1.297167 2.029139 3.354302 5.846011 11.469291
2026-06-14 0.588697 0.861593 1.287429 2.038718 3.422814 6.083509 12.271947
2026-06-21 0.579346 0.855489 1.291615 2.072550 3.538757 6.426235 13.369874
2026-06-28 0.568559 0.846556 1.290582 2.096820 3.637889 6.743589 14.456486
2026-07-05 0.556307 0.834694 1.284013 2.110523 3.717104 7.026190 15.501369